Skip to main content
Fact Sheet
Statistical

Smoking Statistics

ASH
May 2021

Trends in smoking

The highest recorded level of smoking among men in Great Britain was 82% in 1948, of whom 65% smoked manufactured cigarettes. At that time, significant numbers of men smoked pipes or cigars as well as, or instead of, manufactured cigarettes. By contrast, women have tended to smoke only cigarettes. Smoking prevalence among women in 1948 was 41% and remained constant until the early 1970s, peaking at 45% in the mid-1960s, according to tobacco industry surveys.1

Overall, the proportion of adults (aged 16 and over) smoking in Great Britain has been declining since 1974 when national government surveys on smoking among adults first began. Since then, smoking has continued to decline, albeit at a slower rate.2 The fall in smoking rates is due to a combination of smokers quitting and a growth in the population of people who have never smoked.

Various methods have been used to measure smoking rates in Great Britain over the years. There are three Government surveys from which data in this factsheet is sourced: The General Household/General Lifestyle Surveys (GLS), the Opinion & Lifestyle Survey (OPN), and the Annual Population Survey (APS).2 Table 3 demonstrates the variation in measurements.

Government targets are set on the basis of the APS data as this has the largest sample size. Please note that due to differences in sample size and methodology, overall prevalence figures differ between surveys, though the trends are consistent.

Table 1: Cigarette Smoking Prevalence, Adults Aged 18 and Over, Countries of the UK, 20194

England

WalesScotland

Northern Ireland

UK

Adults14.4%15.9%16.3%15.5%14.7%

There are about 6.9 million adult cigarette smokers in the United Kingdom.2 The proportion of the population who have never smoked has increased from 37.4% in 1974 to 60.4% in 2019.

Table 2: Prevalence of cigarette smoking by sex (GLS/OPN/APS), 1974 to 2019, Great Britain & UK 2 3 4

%197419781982

1986

1990199419982002200620102014

2015

2016201720182019
Men5145383531282827232120

19.3

17.717.016.515.19
Women41373331

29

2626252520

17

15.3

14.1

13.3

13.012.5
All4540353330

27

27

26

2620

18.1

17.2

15.8

15.1

14.7

14.1

NB: Since 2000 data have been weighted. 1974-2010 figures are from the GLS/OPN surveys and are for Great Britain. Data from 2014 onwards is from the Annual Population Survey and is for the UK. 2 3 4


Table 3: Smoking prevalence by survey, 1974-2019 2 3 4

%1974197819821986199019941998200220062010201420152016201720182019
OPN/GLS45.640.235.332.730.026.827.125.922.020.318.817.816.116.8
APS20.118.117.215.815.114.714.1

NB: The earliest data available from the APS is from 2010.2 3


Types of tobacco smoked
Across Great Britain, since 1990, there has been a steady increase in the number of smokers using mainly hand-rolled tobacco. In 1990, 18% of male smokers and 2% of female smokers said they smoked mainly hand-rolled cigarettes but by 2011 this had risen to 40% and 26% respectively.4 The 2018 Opinions & Lifestyle survey revealed that 40.8% of male and 29.9% of female smokers said they smoked hand-rolled cigarettes.4 This is most likely due to the growing unaffordability of ‘straight’ cigarettes, and that smoking is becoming more concentrated among people on low incomes.

Targets to reduce smoking
Periodically, the Government sets targets to reduce smoking prevalence in the population.5 6 Most recently, in July 2019, the Government announced its ambition for a Smokefree 2030 (where the overall percentage of the population who smoke is 5% or below) through its consultation document ‘Advancing our health: prevention in the 2020s’.

In July 2017, the Conservative Minority Government published a Tobacco Control Plan for England, outlining the steps needed to drastically reduce smoking rates by 2022. Its goals included reducing the number of 15 year olds who smoke regularly from 8% to 3% or below, reducing smoking in adults from 15.5% to 12%, and reducing smoking in pregnancy from 10.7% to 6% or below.7 8

In March 2011 the Coalition Government launched its Tobacco Control Plan for England in which it set out ambitions to reduce adult smoking prevalence to 18.5% or less by 2015 and to reduce smoking among 15 year-olds to 12% or less by 2015.7

In its strategy paper launched on 1 February 2010 the Labour Government set new targets to reduce smoking among the general population to 10% of adults and to 1% or less among children by 2020.6

In the 1998 White Paper ‘Smoking Kills’ the Government set a target to reduce adult smoking rates to 21% or less by 2010, with a reduction in prevalence among routine and manual groups to 26% or less.5 The target for the general population was achieved in 2007 but not for lower socio-economic groups (28% in 2011).

Cigarette smoking by gender and age

In general, men are more likely to smoke than women. Since 2010, smoking has become less common across all age groups.4 Smoking continues to be lowest among people aged 60 and over. Although they are more likely than younger people to have ever been smokers, they are also more likely to have stopped smoking.

Table 4: Cigarette smoking by age: Percentage of adult population, Great Britain2 4

16-2425-3435-4950-5960+
197444.350.952.050.433.3
198434.737.937.139.125.8
199434.231.829.526.717.3
200428.931.229.324.114.2
201423.124.221.018.911.4
201523.524.220.316.010.3
201616.623.018.215.010.6
201719.921.921.117.58.3
201823.620.818.615.210.2
201918.321.816.518.49.5

Cigarette smoking by socio-economic group

There is a strong link between cigarette smoking and socio-economic group. In 2019, 23.4% of adults in routine and manual occupations smoked compared with 9.3% in managerial and professional occupations.2

Historically there has been a slower decline in smoking among manual groups, resulting in smoking becoming increasingly concentrated in this population. However, in recent years, smoking rates have fallen by a similar amount across all social groups, so that the differential between non-manual and manual has not changed significantly.

Table 5: Prevalence of cigarette smoking by socio-economic classification: Persons aged 16 and over. Great Britain, 2019

%EmployedUnemployedEconomically Inactive
Smoker17.223.512.6
Ex smoker23.115.532.5
Never smoker59.861.054.8


Tobacco consumption

Since the mid-1970s cigarette consumption has fallen among both men and women, particularly among heavy smokers (defined as those smoking more than 20 cigarettes a day). In 1974, 26% of men and 13% of women were heavy smokers compared with 5% of men and 3% of women in 2012. The average number of cigarettes smoked per day by men and women has seen a general downward trend.

Table 6: Average daily consumption of manufactured cigarettes per smoker, GB, 1949-20191 2 3 4

Year194919591969197919902000201020112012201320142015201620172018*2019*
Men14.118.418.921.616.815.014.013.012.013.012.211.612.011.48.69.2
Women6.811.013.716.613.913.012.012.011.011.010.511.011.010.38.29.0

*Weighted and redesigned question. From 2018 the survey question used to measure average daily cigarette consumption was transformed for telephone and online data collection modes. This means that the data collected 1974-2017 are not comparable with the latest estimates.

Cigarette consumption and socio-economic group
Higher cigarette consumption is associated with lower socio-economic status. A 2021 YouGov survey commissioned by ASH found that 34% of current smokers in higher social groups (AB) smoked 6 or fewer cigarettes per day compared to 24% in the lower social group (DE). People in social group DE are more likely to be heavy smokers: 10% reported smoking 21 to 30 cigarettes a day compared with 8% in the highest social group.8

Dependence on cigarette smoking
There are several ways of measuring dependence on smoking including the desire to quit amongst those who nevertheless continue to smoke. Other ways of measuring dependence include how soon the first cigarette of the day is smoked after waking. OPN data shows 35.4% of current smokers in Great Britain had their first cigarette within the first 30 minutes of waking. (OPN 2018). 58.4% of current smokers said they wanted to stop smoking, and only 21.8% said that they do not intend to stop (OPN 2018).

Illness and disease

Smoking is the primary cause of preventable illness and premature death, accounting for approximately 74,600 deaths a year in England.11 Smoking harms nearly every organ of the body and dramatically reduces both quality of life and life expectancy. Smoking causes lung cancer, respiratory disease and heart disease as well as numerous cancers in other organs including the lip, mouth, throat, bladder, kidney, stomach, liver and cervix. The 2010 US Surgeon General report, ‘How Tobacco Smoke Causes Disease’, concludes that “there is no risk-free level of exposure to tobacco smoke, and there is no safe tobacco product.”12

It is estimated that the global yearly death toll as a result of tobacco use is currently 7 million (including exposure to second hand smoke).13 On current smoking trends this is expected to rise to around 10 million a year by 2030.14 It is predicted that by the end of the 21st century, tobacco will have killed one billion people within the century.15

For every death caused by smoking, approximately 20 smokers are suffering from a smoking related disease.12 15 In England it is estimated that in 2019-20, among adults aged 35 and over, around 506,100 NHS hospital admissions were attributable to smoking, accounting for 4% of all hospital admissions in this age group.16 The cost of smoking to the National Health Service in England is estimated to be £2.5 billion a year.17

Deaths caused by smoking
Smoking is the leading cause of preventable death and disease in the UK. About half of all life-long smokers will die prematurely, losing on average about 10 years of life.18 Smoking kills more people each year than the following preventable causes of death combined. Data from the Global Burden Study of Disease, 2019 reports the risk factors responsible for deaths in the United Kingdom:19

  • Smoking- (119,776)
  • High body mass index- (56,215)
  • Alcohol use- (25,242)
  • Low physical activity- (14,335)
  • Drug use- (5,015)

Most smoking-related deaths arise from one of three types of disease: lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD which incorporates emphysema and chronic bronchitis) and coronary heart disease (CHD). In 2019, 15% (74,600) of all deaths of adults aged 35 and over in England were estimated to be attributable to smoking.16

Of these smoking caused:16

  • 35,500 (52%) of all cancer deaths
  • 23,700 (35%) of all respiratory deaths
  • 14,700 (13%) of all circulatory disease deaths

Table 7: Estimated percentages and numbers of deaths attributable to smoking in England by cause among adults aged 35 and over, 201916

Observed deathsMale deathsMale %Female deathsFemale %Total
Cancers which can be caused by smoking68,27922,8005912,8004335,500
Trachea, Lung, Bronchus27,49012,700858,7006921,400
Upper Respiratory Sites2,5481,20069400441,600
Larynx6314007910071500
Oesophagus

6,668

3,000671,200554,200
Cervical636001009100
Bladder4,6411,30041400271,700
Kidney and Renal Pelvis3,966800311007900
Stomach3,2995002310011600
Pancreas8,08280019900221,700
Unspecified site7,8711,80050700182,600
Myeloid Leukaemia2,447300201009400
Respiratory diseases which can be caused by smoking50,17312,8005210,9004323,700
Chronic Obstructive Lung
Disease
1,15070088300811,000
Chronic Airway Obstruction24,8399,700779,1007418,800
Pneumonia, Influenza24,1842,500221,500113,900
Circulatory diseases which can be caused by smoking111,2769,700165,0001014,700
Other Heart Disease25,5381,800161,20083,000
Ischaemic Heart Disease51,0494,700151,900106,700
Other Arterial Disease2,4772001320014300
Cerebrovascular Disease27,7161,4001280052,200
Aortic Aneurysm4,4331,60059900492,400
Atherosclerosis63024080
Diseases of the digestive system which can be caused by smoking1,5494004730038700
Stomach / Duodenal Ulcer1,5494004730038700

NB: The estimated attributable number of deaths is rounded to the nearest 100. Numbers may not all total due to rounding.

Non-fatal diseases
There are many medical conditions associated with or aggravated by smoking, which may not be fatal but still cause years of debilitating illness. These include:

Heart and circulationAngina, Buerger’s Disease (severe circulatory disease), Peripheral vascular disease
RespiratoryAsthma, Common cold, Chronic rhinitis (inflammation of nose), Influenza, Tuberculosis
Stomach/digestive systemColon polyps, Crohn’s disease (chronic inflamed bowel), Duodenal ulcer, Stomach ulcer
MouthGingivitis & Periodontitis (gum disease), Tooth loss, Tooth discolouration
Ligaments, muscles and bonesLigament, tendon and muscle injuries, Neck and back pain, Osteoporosis (in both sexes), Rheumatoid arthritis
EyesCataract, Macular degeneration, Nystagmus (abnormal eye movements), Optic neuropathy (loss of vision), Ocular histoplasmosis (fungal eye infection), Tobacco Amblyopia (loss of vision), Diabetic retinopathy, Optic neuritis
SkinPsoriasis, skin wrinkling
Reproductive functionsFemale fertility (30% lower), Menopause (onset 1.74 years earlier on average), Male fertility (Impotence, Reduced sperm count and motility, sperm less able to penetrate the ovum, increased shape abnormalities
OtherDepression, Hearing loss, Multiple sclerosis, Type 2 Diabetes


Resources

For information about tobacco use and related harm at local level in England, please refer to Public Health England’s Local Tobacco Control Profiles for England. For more statistics on deaths from smoking in the UK and worldwide see Deaths from Smoking.

Smoking dataData source
Smoking PrevalenceAnnual Population Survey, Office for National Statistics: Smoking habits in the UK and its constituent countries
Cigarette smoking by gender and ageOpinions and Lifestyle Survey (OPN): Adult smoking habits in Great Britain (Table 4)
Risk factors responsible for deathsGlobal Burden Study of Disease, 2019, United Kingdom: GBD Compare UK 2019
Deaths attributable to smokingOffice for National Statistics (ONS) annual extract of registered deaths and is based on original cause of death: Statistics on Smoking, England 2020 (Table 1.4 & 1.5)
Smoking-related hospital admissionsNHS Digital's Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) and is based on the primary diagnosis: Part 1: Smoking-related ill health and mortality